Concrete Compressive Strength Prediction by Ensemble Machine Learning Approach

Abstract

The prediction of concrete compressive strength is a crucial aspect of ensuring the structural integrity and durability of construction projects. In recent years, machine learning approaches have improved upon the limitations of empirical formulas and laboratory testing methods for predicting concrete compressive strength. This study utilizes ensemble machine-learning techniques, such as Bagging, XGBoost, and Stacking models, to enhance the accuracy of concrete compressive strength prediction models. A five-fold cross-validation technique was applied to mitigate the problems of underfitting or overfitting in the regression model. Furthermore, various statistical indices were employed to compare the forecasting performance of these ensemble techniques. The prediction performance of this research revealed that XGBoost achieved the highest R-squared value of 93%, followed by Stacking and Bagging regression models at 92%. Consequently, this research underscores the potential of ensemble techniques as valuable tools in the domain of civil engineering, paving the way for more reliable and efficient construction practices.