Assessing Public Debt Sustainability: An Empirical Study of Nepal
Keywords:
Sustainability, Stationary, Public debt, Public expenditure, CointegrationAbstract
Public debt is increasing tremendously year by year in Nepal. The economic growth rate is very low and other macroeconomic indicators are not so encouraging. In this context, there is a question of long run sustainability of public debt. If public expenditure and public revenue are I(0) i.e. stationary public debt is sustainable but if these are I(1) i.e. nonstationary and not co- integrated the public debt is said to be unsustainable. The revenue and expenditure time series data from fiscal year 1974/75 to 2009/10 are I (1) and there is no cointegration. This exhibits that the public debt is unsustainable in Nepal.
Key words: Sustainability; Stationary; Public debt; Public expenditure; Cointegration
Economic Journal of Development Issues
Vol. 9 and 10 (2008 & 2009) Combined Issue
Page: 77-84
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© Department of Economics, Patan Multiple Campus, Tribhuvan University